Tag: Omicron variant

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Vaccine Mandate Battle Looms as Omicron Cases Surge

On By ModernMedia
Photo by Mat Napo on Unsplash

As President Cyril Ramaphosa warns that the long-expected fourth wave is upon the country, a legal battle against mandatory vaccination is brewing even as Omicron rates create an unprecedented surge, likely driven through re-infections.  

Omicron, detected by South African scientists only two weeks ago, is now dominating in most provinces. However, he stressed that the country had been prepared for a fourth wave, having long been predicted by modellers. He reiterated the call for more vaccinations and to observe social distancing as much as possible over the festive season.

Vaccine mandates are now on the cards, which are expected to be introduced in early 2022. Civil rights groups including Afriforum and Sakeliga have threatened legal action if the government moves ahead on its plans to introduce vaccine mandates.

Afriforum called vaccine mandates a violation of personal freedoms, and cited Ramaphosa’s statement February this year saying that nobody in the country would be forced to take a vaccination.

As of Monday evening, reported test positivity rate now stands at 26.4%, which is well above the 10% ‘level of concern’ which had been reached a week ago.. In the third wave, it took about a month to go from this level to 25%. 

At this stage, there is only anecdotal evidence around Omicron’s severity which suggests milder disease.

Prof Dame Sarah Gilbert, one of the creators of the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine, echoed the warning that vaccine effectiveness may be reduced against Omicron, noting its spike protein contained mutations known to increase the transmissibility of the virus. She cautioned that “there are additional changes that may mean antibodies induced by the vaccines, or by infection with other variants, may be less effective at preventing infection with Omicron.

“Until we know more, we should be cautious, and take steps to slow down the spread of this new variant.”

Preliminary results published in a preprint paper awaiting peer review suggest that the re-infection hazard ratio for Omicron is 2.39, with a possible range of  1.88–3.11 falling within the 95% confidence interval. By contrast, they found that the Beta and Delta variants proliferated primarily as a result of increased transmissibility, not immune escape.

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Paxlovid Ramped up and No ‘Red Flags’ for Omicron Yet

On By ModernMedia
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In the face of a renewed global surge in COVID cases, Pfizer has ramped up production of Paxlovid, even while the efficacy of Merck’s molnupiravir appears to be less than believed.

Pfizer is now expecting to make 80 million courses of Paxlovid by the end of 2022, Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla told CNBC, a significant increase over its earlier planned capacity of 50 million courses.

This news came after Merck reported the risk reduction in hospitalisation and death from its COVID antiviral, molnupiravir, fell from 50% in the interim analysis to 30% in the final analysis. The reduction came after results were updated with participants that became evaluable after the interim analysis. This drop has led to predictions of increased demand for Paxlovid, which has shown an 89% risk reduction in outpatients.

The increase in production comes just in time to fight the Omicron variant, for which South Africa is now better prepared, according to experts.

‘No red flags’
According to Professor Salim Abdool Karim, director of the Centre for the Aids Programme of Research in South Africa, the numbers appear to be on the rise across all continents, but as yet there are “no red flags” he said.

Omicron has been identified by South African scientists as a major driver of the spike in cases in Gauteng.

“We have been amazed at how fast the numbers are going up,” he said. “But we were not caught with our pants down. We expected and prepared for a fourth wave. [The scientists] gave us the best fighting chance by giving us information early. We didn’t know exactly when it would come and what it would look like,” Prof Karim said, speaking to the Daily Maverick.

While a number of mutations enable the variant to escape immunity, a clear picture of Omicron’s nature won’t emerge for two to four weeks, he cautioned.

Speaking about travel bans imposed on South Africa by Mauritius, Rwanda, Egypt and the Seychelles, President Cyril Ramaphosa said ahead of a West African tour: “I am concerned. Out of due respect to them, they have their own reasons. We would like to have a discussion with them in a way we prefer that they do not react like our former colonisers who are very quick to close Africa down,” Ramaphosa told journalists.

EU accelerates child vaccinations
EU President von der Leyen has said that vaccines for children aged five to 11 will be available in the bloc by December 13, a week ahead of schedule and that she is pushing for the consideration of mandatory vaccination. This comes amidst news that Omicron was detected in the Netherlands before its first detection in South Africa. Meanwhile, in Asia, South Korea has reported its first five cases of Omicron.

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Pharma Giants Draw Their Plans Against Omicron

On By ModernMedia
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As world leaders seek to reassure an anxious world about the emergence of Omicron, Moderna’s CEO believes that vaccines will not have the same level of effectiveness against the new variant. Meanwhile, other major vaccine developers such as Oxford University maintain that it is still too early as yet to draw conclusions, and existing vaccines can be updated in a matter of months.

In an interview with the Financial Times, Moderna CEO Stéphane Bancel said that “in no world” would vaccines protect against Omicron at the same level as they did against Delta. He added that he thought it would be “material drop”, though data was still to come. However, the scientists he spoke to had all said “‘This is not going to be good’.” This is because 32 of the variant’s 50 mutations are on the Spike protein, which current vaccines are designed to target.

He noted the reduced effectiveness of existing vaccines against Delta, saying that scientists had not expected such a high level of mutation to emerge for another two to three years. His comments come in stark contrast to others who stress that there is no information yet to suggest that Omicron is any more serious than previous variants, or that vaccines are less effective against it.

Oxford University released a statement saying they were monitoring the situation, but stood ready to produce a new vaccine if necessary.

“Despite the appearance of new variants over the past year, vaccines have continued to provide very high levels of protection against severe disease and there is no evidence so far that Omicron is any different.

“However, we have the necessary tools and processes in place for rapid development of an updated COVID vaccine if it should be necessary.”

Pfizer’s CEO Albert Bourla said in an interview with CNBC that his company had already started work on an updated vaccine, which would be ready in 100 days.

In the Netherlands, scientists from the country’s National Institute of Public Health said that they had detected Omicron on flights that had arrived from Southern Africa before the official announcement of the discovery by South Africa. The country is now trying to locate and isolate some 5000 individuals who arrived in the country from the region. 

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WHO Criticises Omicron Travel Bans as SA Stays at Level 1

On By ModernMedia
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The emergence of the Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant which has resulted in renewed lockdowns and travel bans around the world, which have been criticised by the WHO. In contrast, South Africa will stick to an adjusted Level 1 lockdown for the time being, though pushing for mandatory vaccinations. Business and civil society groups had warned that increasing restrictions would have provoked backlash as recent election campaign events had effectively ignored them.

Many nations around the world have reacted quickly to the new variant, which has a large number of mutations compared to the Delta variant. The UK’s decision to suspend flights from South Africa as well as nine other African countries has provoked criticism from a number of quarters, including President Cyril Ramaphosa. The sudden move has caught many travellers by surprise, including a Welsh rugby team which had two members test positive, one of which was for Omicron. They will have to self-isolate before they are able to return, depending on flight availability.

Japan and Israel have taken the more extreme steps of closing their borders to foreigners. The first cases of Omicron that were recorded in Botswana were revealed to be in visiting diplomats, although which country they came from has not been revealed. 

The World Health Organization criticised the imposition of travel restrictions, acknowledging that although they may play a role in slightly reducing the spread of COVID, they still place a heavy burden on lives and livelihoods. It pointed out that if restrictions are implemented, they should not be unnecessarily invasive or intrusive, and should be scientifically based, under international law, the International Health Regulations. It notes South Africa followed International Health Regulations, and informed WHO as soon as its national laboratory identified the Omicron variant. 

“The speed and transparency of the South African and Botswana governments in informing the world of the new variant is to be commended. WHO stands with African countries which had the courage to boldly share life-saving public health information, helping protect the world against the spread of COVID,” said Dr Matshidiso Moeti, WHO Regional Director for Africa. “On the eve of a special session on pandemic preparedness I urge all countries to respect their legal obligations and implement scientifically based public health actions. It is critical that countries which are open with their data are supported as this is the only way to ensure we receive important data in a timely manner.”

Although a full picture of the new variant’s severity is still two or three weeks away, Angelique Coetzee, chair of the South African Medical Association, told the AFP she had recently seen around 30 patients at her Pretoria practice who tested positive for COVID but had unfamiliar symptoms.

“What brought them to the surgery was this extreme tiredness,” she said, something she said was unusual for younger patients. Most were men under 40, and just under half were vaccinated. Other symptoms included mild muscle aches, a “scratchy throat” and dry cough, she said. Just a few had a slightly high temperature. These very mild symptoms stand in contrast to other variants, which typically result in more severe symptoms.