Author: ModernMedia

Healthcare Trends to Watch in 2025

AI image made with Gencraft using Quicknews’ prompts.

Quicknews takes a look at some of the big events and concerns that defined healthcare 2024, and looks into its crystal ball identify to new trends and emerging opportunities from various news and opinion pieces. There’s a lot going on right now: the battle to make universal healthcare a reality for South Africans, growing noncommunicable diseases and new technologies and treatments – plus some hope in the fight against HIV and certain other diseases.

1. The uncertainty over NHI will continue

For South Africa, the biggest event in healthcare was the signing into law of the National Health Insurance (NHI) by President Ramaphosa in May 2024, right before the elections. This occurred in the face of stiff opposition from many healthcare associations. It has since been bogged down in legal battles, with a section governing the Certificate of Need to practice recently struck down by the High Court as it infringed on at least six constitutional rights.

Much uncertainty around the NHI has been expressed by various organisation such as the Health Funders Association (HFA). Potential pitfalls and also benefits and opportunities have been highlighted. But the biggest obstacle of all is the sheer cost of the project, estimated at some R1.3 trillion. This would need massive tax increases to fund it – an unworkable solution which would see an extra R37 000 in payroll tax. Modest economic growth of around 1.5% is expected for South Africa in 2025, but is nowhere near creating enough surplus wealth to match the national healthcare of a country like Japan. And yet, amidst all the uncertainty, the healthcare sector is expected to do well in 2025.

Whether the Government of National Unity (GNU) will be able to hammer out a workable path forward for NHI remains an open question, with various parties at loggerheads over its implementation. Public–private partnerships are preferred by the DA and groups such as Solidarity, but whether the fragile GNU will last long enough for a compromise remains anybody’s guess.

It is reported that latest NHI proposal from the ANC includes forcing medical aid schemes to lower their prices by competing with government – although Health Minister Aaron Motsoaledi has dismissed these reports. In any case, medical aid schemes are already increasing their rates as healthcare costs continue to rise in what is an inexorable global trend – fuelled in large part by ageing populations and increases in noncommunicable diseases.

2. New obesity treatments will be developed

Non-communicable diseases account for 56% of deaths in South Africa, and obesity is a major risk factor, along with hypertension and hyperglycaemia, which are often comorbid. GLP-1 agonists were all over the news in 2023 and 2024 as they became approved in certain countries for the treatment of obesity. But in South Africa, they are only approved for use in obesity with a diabetes diagnosis, after diet and exercise have failed to make a difference, with one exception. Doctors also caution against using them as a ‘silver bullet’. Some are calling for cost reductions as they can be quite expensive; a generic for liraglutide in SA is expected in the next few years.

Further on the horizon, there are a host of experimental drugs undergoing testing for obesity treatment, according to a review published in Nature. While GLP-1 remains a target for many new drugs, others focus on gut hormones involved in appetite: GIP-1, glucagon, PYY and amylin. There are 5 new drugs in Phase 3 trials, expected variously to finish between 2025 and 2027, 10 drugs in Phase 2 clinical trials and 18 in Phase 1. Some are also finding applications beside obesity. The GLP-1 agonist survodutide, for example have received FDA approval not for obesity but for liver fibrosis.

With steadily increasing rates of overweight/obesity and disorders associated with them, this will continue to be a prominent research area. In the US, where the health costs of poor diet match what consumers spend on groceries, ‘food as medicine’ has become a major buzzword as companies strive to deliver healthy nutritional solutions. Retailers are providing much of the push, and South Africa is no exception. Medical aid scheme benefits are giving way to initiatives such as Pick n Pay’s Live Well Club, which simply offers triple Smart Shopper points to members who sign up.

Another promising approach to the obesity fight is precision medicine, which factors in many data about the patient to identify the best interventions. This could include detailed study of energy balance regulation, helping to select the right antiobesity medication based on actionable behavioural and phsyiologic traits. Genotyping, multi-omics, and big data analysis are growing fields that might also uncover additional signatures or phenotypes better responsive to certain interventions.

3. AI tools become the norm

Wearable health monitoring technology has gone from the lab to commonly available consumer products. Continued innovation in this field will lead to cheaper, more accurate devices with greater functionality. Smart rings, microneedle patches and even health monitoring using Bluetooth earphones such as Apple’s Airpods show how these devices are becoming smaller and more discrete. But health insurance schemes remain unconvinced as to their benefits.

After making a huge splash in 2024 as it rapidly evolved, AI technology is now maturing and entering a consolidation phase. Already, its use has become commonplace in many areas: the image at the top of the article is AI-generated, although it took a few attempts with the doctors exhibiting polydactyly and AI choosing to write “20215” instead of “2025”. An emerging area is to use AI in patient phenotyping (classifying patients based on biological, behavioural, or genetic attributes) and digital twins (virtual simulations of individual patients), enabling precision medicine. Digital twins for example, can serve as a “placebo” in a trial of a new treatment, as is being investigated in ALS research.

Rather than replacing human doctors, it is likely that AI’s key application is reducing lowering workforce costs, a major component of healthcare costs. Chatbots, for example, could engage with patients and help them navigate the healthcare system. Other AI application include tools to speed up and improve diagnosis, eg in radiology, and aiding communication within the healthcare system by helping come up with and structure notes.

4. Emerging solutions to labour shortages

Given the long lead times to recruit and train healthcare workers, 2025 will not likely see any change to the massive shortages of all positions from nurses to specialists.

At the same time, public healthcare has seen freezes on hiring resulting in the paradoxical situation of unemployed junior doctors in a country desperately in need of more doctors – 800 at the start of 2024 were without posts. The DA has tabled a Bill to amend the Health Professions Act at would allow private healthcare to recruit interns and those doing community service. Critics have pointed out that it would exacerbate the existing public–private healthcare gap.

But there are some welcome developments: thanks to a five-year plan from the Department of Health, family physicians in SA are finally going to get their chance to shine and address many problems in healthcare delivery. These ‘super generalists’ are equipped with a four-year specialisation and are set to take up roles as clinical managers, leading multi-disciplinary district hospital teams.

Less obvious is where the country will be able to secure enough nurses to meet its needs. The main challenge is that nurses, especially specialist nurses, are ageing – and it’s not clear where their replacements are coming from. In the next 15 years, some 48% of the country’s nurses are set to retire. Coupled with that is the general consensus that the new nursing training curriculum is a flop: the old one, from 1987 to 2020, produced nurses with well-rounded skills, says Simon Hlungwani, president of the Democratic Nursing Organisation of South Africa (Denosa). There’s also a skills bottleneck: institutions like Baragwanath used to cater for 300 students at a time, now they are only approved to handle 80. The drive for recruitment will also have to be accompanied by some serious educational reform to get back on track.

5. Progress against many diseases

Sub-Saharan Africa continues to drive declines in new HIV infections.  Lifetime odds of getting HIV have fallen by 60% since the 1995 peak. It also saw the largest decrease in population without a suppressed level of HIV (PUV), from 19.7 million people in 2003 to 11.3 million people in 2021. While there is a slowing in the increase of population living with HIV, it is predicted to peak by 2039 at 44.4 million people globally. But the UNAIDS HIV targets for 2030 are unlikely to be met.

As human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination programmes continue, cervical cancer deaths in young women are plummeting, a trend which is certain to continue.

A ‘new’ respiratory virus currently circulating in China will fortunately not be the next COVID. Unlike SARS-CoV-2, human metapneumovirus (HMPV) has been around for decades, and only causes a few days of mild illness, with bed rest and fluids as the primary treatment. The virus has limited pandemic potential, according to experts.

From Sunbathing your Bottom to Crying over Crystals, South Africans Reflect on the Most Outrageous Wellness Trends from 2024

Photo by Darius Bashar on Unsplash

In a world where wellness sometimes feels like a circus act, Virgin Active South Africa conducted a survey at the end of 2024, revealing the most baffling wellness trends of the year*. With over 750 South Africans weighing in, it turns out that we’re not just stretching our bodies – our minds are doing some serious gymnastics trying to keep up with the latest fads. And let’s face it, some of these trends seem to have been invented after a few too many kombucha shots.

The wackiest trends that baffle the masses

First up on the bewildering list is the infamous perineum sunning, also known as “bum sunbathing,” which left 360 respondents scratching their heads (and maybe their backsides) and wondering how to apply sunblock to those hard to reach places. Following closely is Ozempic, a medicine for adults with type 2 diabetes and which has now become popular as a weight-loss medication amongst those without diabetes. 298 people found this more confusing than a goat at a dog park. Not far behind are crystal healing (267 baffled souls), the carnivore diet (280 confused veggie enthusiasts), and the adorable yet perplexing goat and puppy yoga (259, because who wouldn’t want a furry friend in downward dog?).

In fact, when asked which of these trends they would consider trying, only three brave souls expressed interest in perineum sunbathing. Clearly, South Africans would rather stick to the basics like intermittent fasting (144) and a good old 30-day ab challenge (131).

After all, who needs sun-kissed cheeks when you’ve got abs to show off?

So why try the strange?

When it comes to experimenting with these quirky trends, 276 respondents said they just wanted ‘a new way to improve my health and wellbeing’. Because, let’s face it, who wouldn’t want to feel healthier while sunning their bum? It’s the perfect combination of self-care and “I’m just gonna do me!”.

Social Media takes the number one podium position as ‘The Wellness Wild West’

With South Africans encountering between 1 to 5 wellness-related posts a day, it’s no wonder that confusion reigns supreme. A staggering 64.6% of respondents have never bought supplements based on influencer recommendations, proving that we’re more sceptical than starry-eyed when it comes to social media endorsements – despite the fact we’ve all been tempted to try that R5000 juice cleanse we read about on GOOP that comes with one of THOSE candles from Gwyneth Paltrow (I said what I said!).

“While social media can be a great source of motivation, it’s also a breeding ground for mixed messages,” says Leandre Kark, Head of Brand Marketing & Communications at Virgin Active. “We often see advice that’s contradicting, leaving people unsure about what really works.”

So, should we drink green juice or make friends with crystals? (Hint: Both are good for your soul, however the extent to which they’re good depends on your belief in them.  Well, that’s the case for crystals. Just don’t rely on them as substitutes for nutrition or mental health.)

When it comes to wellness, South Africans prefer to keep it real

When asked why they might try a quirky trend, those 276 respondents looking for a way to improve their health reflect a broader societal shift: South Africans are open to experimentation but remain discerning about what aligns with their personal health goals. After all, there’s no ‘one size fits all’ in wellness – unless you’re talking about a yoga mat, in which case, that’s actually very size-specific (a standard mat is about 70 cm wide and 173 to 183 cm long, you’re welcome).

Macro trends shaping South African wellness

The survey results also tap into larger wellness dynamics in South Africa:

  • Rising anxiety and stress levels: South Africa’s stress index ranks among the highest globally, making mental health solutions essential for many.
  • Economic pressures: With affordability in mind, consumers are increasingly selective about health-related spending, prioritising value over gimmicks (and who can blame them?).
  • Sustainability and the earth matter: Trends like crystal healing reflect a desire for connection with nature, even if its effectiveness is a bit… shady (pun intended).

Virgin Active believes these insights are crucial to shaping its role in helping South Africans navigate wellness trends while staying grounded in practices that deliver real results – and maybe, just maybe, finding a few new ones that don’t involve sunburnt bums.

Kark continues, “True wellness is rooted in balance, not in the latest trend. We tend to become obsessed with quick fixes and outlandish fads, rather than focusing on investing in a long-term journey towards better health. Sustainable habits such as regular exercise, mindful eating, and mental well-being are the foundation of lasting vitality. It requires an investment of time and energy rather that getting swept up in fleeting trends that promise quick-fixes. Instead, invest in a long-term, holistic plan of moderation and consistency, to nurture your body, mind, and spirit.”

Is every man and his bum going to trend again in 2025? Only time will tell

While the wellness world may be filled with head-scratchers, it’s comforting to know that Virgin Active remains committed to providing effective strategies that prioritise real health over fleeting fads. Whether you’re considering goat yoga or just squeezing in an extra workout, remember: wellness is about what works for you, not what’s trending on TikTok! (Though we’ll admit, a goat in downward dog definitely adds to the experience – but sadly, it’s not offered at Virgin Active clubs… yet. And we’re not kidding – see what we did there?)

For more information on the classes available at Virgin Active, head to the class tab on the website, and check out the website for other updates or drop by your nearest club.**

*Note: #NoGoatsWereHarmedInThisStudy

**Note: By “club,” we mean Virgin Active… although, who’s to say what happens post-workout?

#InTheSpotlight | Where are We in the Search for an HIV Cure?

By Elri Voigt

Colourised scanning electron micrograph of HIV (yellow) infecting a human T9 cell (blue). Credit: NIH

Highly effective treatments for HIV have existed since the mid-1990s. But while these treatments keep people healthy, we do not yet have a safe and scalable way to completely rid the body of the virus. In this Spotlight special briefing, Elri Voigt takes stock of where we are in the decades-long search for an HIV cure.

As the science stands, the vast majority of the roughly eight million people in South Africa living with HIV will have to take treatment for the rest of their lives. This is because the antiretrovirals used to treat HIV prevents the virus from replicating but cannot eliminate it from the body. As soon as treatment is stopped, the virus rebounds, resulting in illness and eventually an early death.

A handful of people have been cured of HIV, but these “cures” involve very risky bone marrow transplants given as part of cancer treatment. The harsh reality is that 40 years into the HIV epidemic, and despite major scientific advances, we don’t yet have a viable cure for the roughly 40 million people on the planet who are living with the virus.

The good news, as one will see at any major AIDS conference these days, is that researchers around the world are working very hard to find a cure. In this #InTheSpotlight special briefing, we take a closer look at what progress has been made on this fascinating scientific journey and ask what the possible routes are toward an HIV cure.

What do we actually mean by a cure?

Dr Sharon Lewin, a leading figure in the world of HIV cure research and the inaugural director of the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity in Melbourne, explains that a true “cure” for HIV would mean that there is not a single HIV infected cell left in a person’s body.

By contrast, “remission” would mean that the virus is still in the body, but it is being kept under control by the immune system. This could theoretically happen if the amount of HIV infected cells in a person’s body has been reduced to very low levels and the immune system’s ability to control those remaining cells has been enhanced. Basically, Lewin says, it is when the immune system does what antiretroviral therapy (ART) does without needing to take medication. Another term for this is ART-free viral load control.

There are some people living with HIV called “elite controllers” whose immune systems can naturally, without ART, control HIV. There are also extraordinary elite controllers, says Lewin, who through their immune response have been able to get rid of every single piece of the virus that they had in their bodies. Studying what is special about these rare people has been a key area of research in recent years.

Along with concepts like cure, remission, and control, it also helps to understand where vaccines fit in. As Jessica Salzwedel, the senior programme manager for research engagement at New York-based NGO AVAC, explains, a potential HIV vaccine might be therapeutic and not necessarily preventative. A therapeutic vaccine would be given to someone who is already living with HIV, in the hope that the vaccine would prime their immune system to better fight HIV or potentially clear it.

Why don’t we have a viable cure yet?

Finding cures for viral infections is not unheard of. In fact, one of the most consequential medical breakthroughs of the last decade or so was the development of a highly effective cure for hepatitis C. Unfortunately, it seems HIV is a much tougher nut to crack.

HIV works largely by invading a type of immune cell called a CD4 cell. Once inside, HIV writes its own genetic information into the cell’s DNA and then uses the cell’s machinery to produce more HIV. Eventually, the infected CD4 cell bursts and dies. Different types of antiretrovirals work by gumming up different stages of this process by which HIV invades and exploits CD4 cells. Most antiretroviral treatment regimens used today contain two drugs that target two different stages of this process. These medicines can drive HIV replication in the body down to near zero – which is why people who are stable on ART can live essentially normal, healthy lives.

Unfortunately, that is not the full story. As Lewin explains, the virus has a range of “tricks” that allows it to stay in someone’s body for much longer. One of those tricks is that HIV uses one of the immune system’s greatest assets against it. A person’s immune system contains cells that function as an immunological memory – essentially memory cells – which are designed to survive for a very long time. These memory cells, which include special CD4+ (CD4 positive) T-cells, contain information about which antigens it has encountered during a person’s lifetime. This helps the immune system recognise and kill those antigens faster the next time they enter the body.

HIV writes its own genetic code into some of these memory cells, which helps it stay in the body for as long as that person is alive. Lewin explains that once someone is on treatment, these immune system cells infected with HIV go silent and the virus stops replicating. These silent cells that contain infectious virus are rare, about one in every million, and can’t be found easily by the immune system, allowing the virus to hide in an inactive state but still able to release virus should the cell one day be activated.

These memory cells are found mainly in the lymph nodes, although they can also hide away in the gut, the spleen, and even the brain. Collectively, these HIV-infected cells in hiding are known as the latent reservoir. Should someone stop taking antiretroviral treatment, some of the cells in this latent reservoir could reactivate and start replicating again.

Lewin says researchers are getting better at finding these latent HIV-infected cells, but there still isn’t a way to easily tag these cells and destroy them.

Three lines of investigation

According to Lewin, researchers are exploring three broad strategies in search of an HIV cure.

Firstly, with a strategy called “shock and kill”, researchers try to reactivate (shock) the virus in the cells where it is hiding and then destroy (kill) it once it is flushed out. Such an approach will likely require at least two medicines – one to shock and one to kill. Unfortunately, attempts to find treatments that reliably shock HIV-infected cells out of their slumber has not borne much fruit so far.

Secondly, with “block and lock”, researchers hope to permanently silence the HIV that is hiding away in a person’s body. The aim here is to keep HIV latent for good, so that we never need to worry about killing it. This approach might involve using ART together with a latency promoting agent, of which several are currently being researched. “Block and lock” approaches have been picking up momentum in recent years.

Thirdly, with gene editing, researchers aim to “edit” cells to make them resistant to HIV or remove HIV from them. For example, CD4 cells can be modified to not have the specific receptor called CCR5 that HIV requires to gain entry into the cell. Essentially, if you remove the CCR5 receptor from a cell, HIV has no way in and the cell becomes immune to HIV. In this area, there have been some tantalising developments, but nothing yet that amounts to a workable cure. For example, in one study, people had their blood drawn, the CCR5 receptors removed from the CD4 cells in the blood, and then had the blood reinfused. It worked somewhat, but not nearly well enough to call it a cure.

These three categories are not the only way to think about potential cures.

Broadly, we can think about there being two big “buckets” of approaches for an HIV cure, says Salzwedel. The first “bucket” of approaches targets the virus, and those approaches are trying to remove HIV from the cell or “silencing” it so even if it is still present there is no replication. The other “bucket” of approaches looks at the host – or the person living with HIV – and improving their immune system so it can adequately kill HIV or make the cells that have HIV in them easier to spot so these cells can’t hide from the immune system. She says a combination of approaches from both “buckets” will probably need to be used for a cure.

resource of HIV cure trials maintained by Treatment Action Group, a New York-based advocacy organisation, lists hundreds of clinical trials currently underway that are trying these different approaches or combinations of approaches.

What about the people who have been cured?

As mentioned earlier, one area of research has involved trying to understand “elite controllers”. Another critically important group of people in the search for a cure are the seven or so people who were living with HIV, but who have been cured. Some of these people, like Timothy Ray Brown and Adam Castillejo, have become minor celebrities in the HIV world.

Lewin explains that people like Brown and Castallejo, both of whom have essentially no HIV left in their bodies, had to go through interventions that can’t be replicated in everyone. Both had a type of blood cancer and were living with HIV. They had to undergo chemotherapy which wiped out their bone marrow, including the cells that had HIV in them. They were then given a whole new bone marrow system through a donation from someone who was naturally resistant to HIV since their CD4 cells do not have CCR5 receptors. This allowed the latently infected cells to be “flushed out” of their bodies. One of the other people cured of HIV received a bone marrow transplant from umbilical cord blood.

Such transplants are not things you can do for everyone who is living with HIV, its expensive and the severe risks of the procedure can only be taken in people living with both HIV and certain cancers. Even so, these cases, says Salzwedel, has shown us that it is possible to cure HIV and made us aware of some of the challenges.

Lewin says that cases like those of Brown and Castallejo helped advance gene editing approaches because they showed that not having CCR5 receptors makes CD4 cells essentially immune to HIV. This led to studies using special gene scissors – a technique called CRISPR – to find the gene for the CCR5 receptor in cells and remove it. CRISPR has also been used experimentally to remove HIV from cells.

So far only a small number of studies have been conducted using CRISPR-based gene editing approaches in an attempt to cure HIV – and these were mostly in the lab or in mice and monkeys. The first human gene editing study for CCR5 was done ex vivo – meaning cells were taken out of the body, edited, and then reinfused into the body. The first clinical trial of CRISPR for HIV in vivo – meaning it is done inside the body –  is currently underway and early results were presented in July at the AIDS 2024 conference. While initial results in monkeys were promising, the early findings in humans were disappointing. EBT-101, the specific type of CRISPR treatment, did not prevent HIV from returning once treatment was stopped – although one study participant’s HIV only started replicating again after 16 weeks. A longer follow-up study is currently open in the United States for enrolment.

Gene editing could also potentially be used to strengthen the immune system. This could work, Lewin explains, by inserting a new gene that produces an antibody against HIV into cells and then putting those cells back into the body. “So instead of giving an infusion of an antibody, your own body makes the antibody. And that’s been done successfully in people with HIV on ART in two separate clinical trials and more recently in infant monkeys where ART was stopped,” she says. “The investigators injected CRISPR that delivered two different antibodies to infant monkeys who are infected with a monkey adapted form of HIV virus and on ART. The infant monkey’s muscle cells then start making the antibodies, and when they stopped ART, the antibodies kicked in and kept the virus under control, so that’s the most successful type of gene therapy,” Lewin says.

Boosting the immune response

Another promising avenue is broadly neutralising antibodies (bNAbs) – the broadly refers to the ability of these antibodies to neutralise a range of different HIV viral strains. Broadly neutralising antibodies can work as an antiviral while present in the body, but they can also trigger the immune system to control the virus and, according to Lewin, figuring out how bNAbs do this is a very important part of current cure research. Broadly neutralising antibodies that are HIV specific, work by binding with the virus and eliminating it while also enhancing a person’s immune system so it can control the virus that remains in the body by hiding in the immune system’s memory cells. Broadly neutralising antibodies potentially have this beneficial effect on immune control by activating CD4 and CD8 responses – part of the immune system’s defence – to kill HIV cells. There have been several clinical trials where a subset of participants who have been given bNAbs have been able to control the HIV virus for six months after stopping ART and when the bNAbs are no longer detected in blood. The scientific challenge is that this beneficial effect was only seen in a subset of participants and the duration of control is not fully understood as most clinical trials only assess participants up to 24 weeks off of ART.

Lewin says a small study has also looked at using anti-PD1, an antibody that reverses immune system exhaustion and essentially “revs” up the immune system to keep fighting HIV. Early study findings were presented at the Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections (CROI) this year. Participants stopped ART and were given four doses of the antibody, called Budigalimab, or placebo over 29 weeks. Six out of the nine people who received the antibody had delayed viral rebound and/or ART free control, and two people had viral control off ART for over 29 weeks. The antibody will now be evaluated in a larger study.

Additional approaches, according to Dr Daniel Douek, an expert in immunology and the Chief of the Human Immunology Section at the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases in the United States, include HIV vaccines, which so far have not generated a strong enough immune response to be considered successful. Douek was speaking on an IAS webinar on HIV cure research. Another promising approach is to start someone on ART as quickly as possible after infection in the hope of preventing the establishment of the latent reservoir.

YouTube video

Suppressing the immune system with a drug has also been tried, says Douek, and research so far in this area warrants further investigation. While it seems counterintuitive, the researchers wanted to see if suppressing immune system cells might stop or reduce HIV replication because the virus likes to replicate in activated immune cells. People living with HIV, even when on treatment have a lot of activated immune cells. The drug Ruxolitnib, which is used to treat graft-versus-host disease in transplant patients, was given to 60 people living with HIV alongside their HIV treatment. After five weeks, there was a decrease in markers of immune activation and cell survival. And between five and 12 weeks of using this combination, those with large viral reservoirs displayed signs that their reservoirs were reducing in size. However, Douek cautioned that much more work needs to be done before we can draw firm conclusions about the value of this approach .

What comes next?

Though we don’t yet have a viable cure for HIV, Lewin says a lot of progress has been made, especially over the decade and a half since Brown was cured. We now know a lot more than we did about the virus and how it hides away in cells. Today, she says, we have cure interventions that work well in monkeys and some interventions being investigated in human clinical trials have induced ART-free viral control in some participants. But she is also clear that it will probably be “a very long time” before you can go to your doctor and get an HIV cure.

In this #InTheSpotlight special briefing, we have focused on the science, but as we have learnt from the new hepatitis C cures and from HIV prevention injections, the journey from the lab to your local clinic can be a very long one and involves far more than just the science.

According to Lewin, a successful HIV cure will have to tick several boxes. She says one needs an intervention that is durable, so that it leads to ART-free viral load control over a prolonged period of time. At this point, an intervention that allows for control over two, three or five years, is seen as worthwhile. Although the ideal would be to give something once and have ART-free viral load control over a lifetime. The intervention also needs to be scalable, so it can be given to a lot of people. It also needs to be cheap.

And if there is one insight we’ve gained over our many years covering HIV, it is that affordability and sufficient supply are not things we can take for granted. Given that many of the potential cures involve treatments that are substantially more complicated to produce and administer than antiretrovirals, the challenges here might be more acute than what we’ve seen before.

That we will eventually get a cure is also by no means inevitable. This is why it is critically important that governments and philanthropies continue to invest in cure research and support programmes such as the International AIDS Society’s Toward an HIV Cure initiative. Among others, this initiative is helping to build the capacity needed to conduct cure research in low-and-middle income countries.

Right now, even under a best-case scenario, a world without a cure will mean that many millions of people will still be living with HIV until late in the 21st century. A successful cure could change this trajectory. Ultimately, Salzwedel is right when she says: “We can’t really end an epidemic without a cure”.

Republished from Spotlight under a Creative Commons licence.

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An Ancient Brain Area Processes Numerical Concepts

Photo by Anna Shvets

New research in patients undergoing neurosurgery reveals the unique human ability to conceptualise numbers may be rooted deep within the brain. In good news for those who are stumped by maths, the results of the study by Oregon Health & Science University involving neurosurgery patients suggests new possibilities for tapping into those areas to improve learning.

“This work lays the foundation to deeper understanding of number, math and symbol cognition – something that is uniquely human,” said senior author Ahmed Raslan, MD, professor and chair of neurological surgery in the OHSU School of Medicine. “The implications are far-reaching.”

The study appears in the journal PLOS ONE.

Raslan and co-authors recruited 13 people with epilepsy who were undergoing a commonly used surgical intervention to map the exact location within their brains where seizures originate, a procedure known as stereotactic electroencephalography. During the procedure, researchers asked the patients a series of questions that prompted them to think about numbers as symbols (for example, 3), as words (“three”) and as concepts (a series of three dots).

As the patients responded, researchers found activity in a surprising place: the putamen.

Located deep within the basal ganglia above the brain stem, the putamen is an area of the brain primarily associated with elemental functions, such as movement, and some cognitive function, but rarely with higher-order aspects of human intelligence like solving calculus. Neuroscientists typically ascribe consciousness and abstract thought to the cerebral cortex, which evolved later in human evolution and wraps around the brain’s outer layer in folded grey matter.

“That likely means the human ability to process numbers is something that we acquired early during evolution,” Raslan said. “There is something deeper in the brain that gives us this capacity to leap to where we are today.”

Researchers also found activity as expected in regions of the brain that encode visual and auditory inputs, as well as the parietal lobe, which is known to be involved in numerical and calculation-related functions.

From a practical standpoint, the findings could prove useful in avoiding important areas during surgeries to remove tumors or epilepsy focal points, or in placing neurostimulators designed to stop seizures.

“Brain areas involved in processing numbers can be delineated and extra care taken to avoid damaging these areas during neurosurgical interventions,” said lead author Alexander Rockhill, PhD, a postdoc in Raslan’s lab.

Researchers credited the patients involved in the study.

“We are extremely grateful to our epilepsy patients for their willingness to participate in this research,” said co-author Christian Lopez Ramos, MD, neurosurgical resident at OHSU. “Their involvement in answering our questions during surgery turned out to be the key to advancing scientific understanding about how our brain evolved in the deep past and how it works today.”

Indeed, the study follows previous lines of research involving mapping of the human brain during surgery.

“I have access to the most valuable human data in nature,” Raslan said. “It would be a shame to miss an opportunity to understand how the brain and mind function. All we have to do is ask the right questions.”

In the next stage of this line of research, Raslan anticipates discerning areas of the brain capable of performing other higher-level functions.

Source: Ohio State University

Point-of-care Ultrasound Enhances Early Pregnancy Care, Cuts Emergency Visits by 81%

Photo by Mart Production on Pexels

Published in Annals of Family Medicine, a University of Minnesota Medical School research team found that implementing point-of-care ultrasounds (POCUS) to assess the viability and gestational age of pregnancies in the first trimester enhanced care for pregnant patients and cut emergency visits by 81% for non-miscarrying patients.

Previously, early pregnancy care was provided through separate appointments for ultrasound, risk assessment and patient education. This new integrated approach allows patients who are under 14 weeks pregnant to receive comprehensive care during a single visit. This includes ultrasound-based pregnancy dating, immediate assessment of pregnancy viability, risk evaluation and on-site counselling – all based on real-time ultrasound results.

“Our study demonstrates that the use of point-of-care ultrasound provides meaningful benefit to the patients we serve by addressing early pregnancy problems at the time they are identified,” said Allison Newman, MD, an assistant professor at the U of M Medical School and family medicine physician at M Health Fairview Clinic. “POCUS in early pregnancy helps clinicians more efficiently and accurately diagnose problems without compromising the quality of needed first trimester assessments – saving time, money and stress for patients.”

The research team introduced this integrated approach at M Health Fairview Clinic – Bethesda in autumn 2022, allowing the clinic to quickly identify high-risk cases and offer timely intervention for issues such as miscarriage or abnormal pregnancies. They found:

  • The clinic saw an 81% reduction in emergency visits, urgent clinic appointments and first-trimester phone inquiries for non-miscarrying patients. 
  • Clinic implementation led to more timely diagnosis of abnormal pregnancies and improved education and support for all patients, including those who experience miscarriage. 
  • For miscarriage cases, the time from initial concern to diagnosis decreased from an average of 5.8 days to 1.7 days.

Suggested next steps include rolling out the process more widely within other family medicine practices and performing a wider study across multiple sites.

Source: University of Michigan

Does Obesity Affect Children’s Chances of Survival after Cancer Diagnosis?

Photo by Patrick Fore on Unsplash

A recent population-based study indicates that among children with cancer, those with obesity at the time of diagnosis may face an elevated risk of dying. The findings are published by Wiley online in CANCER, a peer-reviewed journal of the American Cancer Society.

The retrospective study was based on information from the Cancer in Young People in Canada (CYP-C) database, including all children with newly diagnosed cancer aged 2 to 18 years across Canada from 2001 to 2020. Obesity was defined as age and sex-adjusted body mass index at or above the 95th percentile.

Among 11 291 children with cancer, 10.5% were obese at the time of diagnosis. Investigators assessed 5-year event-free survival (survival free of cancer relapse), as well as overall survival.

Compared with patients without obesity at the time of initial cancer diagnosis, those with obesity had lower rates of 5-year event-free survival (77.5% versus 79.6%) and overall survival (83.0% versus 85.9%).

After adjusting for factors including age, sex, ethnicity, neighbourhood income quintile, treatment era, and cancer categories, obesity at diagnosis was linked with a 16% increase in the risk of relapse and a 29% increase in the risk of death. The negative impact of obesity on prognosis was especially pronounced in patients with acute lymphoblastic leukaemia and brain tumours.

“Our study highlights the negative impact of obesity among all types of childhood cancers. It provides the rationale to evaluate different strategies to mitigate the adverse risk of obesity on cancer outcomes in future trials,” said co–senior author Thai Hoa Tran, MD, of the Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Sainte-Justine, in Montreal. “It also reinforces the urgent need to reduce the epidemic of childhood obesity as it can result in significant health consequences.”

Source: Wiley

New Blood Test for Pancreatic Cancer Exceeds Gold Standard

Pancreatic cancer. Credit: Scientific Animations CC BY-SA 4.0

A recent double-blinded, peer-reviewed analysis published in Cancer Letters revealed that an experimental test for pancreatic cancer correctly identified 71% of lab samples compared to only 44% correctly identified by the current gold-standard test.

An experimental blood test for pancreatic cancer that was developed by teams led by VAI Professor Brian Haab, PhD, and Randall E. Brand, MD, a physician-scientist and professor of medicine at the University of Pittsburgh, created the test. This evaluation by a commercial laboratory is an important milestone toward making the test available for patients.

Before the new test can be used by doctors to diagnose cancer, it must undergo clinical validation. During this process, a CLIA-accredited diagnostics laboratory adapts the experimental test into a version that reliably works under the strict conditions in a clinical lab. CLIA is a rigorous federal standard that ensures lab quality.

“Validation studies are essential for transforming a test developed in an academic lab into one that is used to diagnose real people,” Haab said. “For a person being evaluated for pancreatic cancer, the stakes are high. Validation studies ensure that new tests work as intended.”

The new test works by detecting two sugars — CA199.STRA and CA19-9 — that are produced by pancreatic cancer cells and escape into the bloodstream. CA19-9 is the current gold-standard biomarker for pancreatic cancer. Haab’s lab identified CA199.STRA as a cancer biomarker and developed the technology to detect it.

The new test also greatly reduced the number of false negatives while maintaining a low false positive rate, according to the recent analysis. Low rates of false positives and false negatives are important because they reflect the test’s ability to correctly identify the presence or absence of cancer.

Clinical validation of the test will be conducted by ReligenDx, a CLIA-accredited diagnostics lab based in Pennsylvania. The process is expected to take two years.  

If successful in clinical validation, Haab envisions the test being used in two main ways: 1. Catching pancreatic cancer more quickly in people at high risk of the disease, which would enable earlier treatment and 2. Monitoring progression and treatment response in people diagnosed with pancreatic cancer.

Source: Van Andel Research Institute

How Blood Vessel Dysfunction can Worsen Chronic Disease

Source: CC0

Researchers have uncovered how specialised cells surrounding small blood vessels, known as perivascular cells, contribute to blood vessel dysfunction in chronic diseases such as cancer, diabetes and fibrosis. The findings, published today in Science Advances, could change how these diseases are treated.

This new study from Oregon Health & Science University shows that perivascular cells sense changes in nearby tissues and send signals that disrupt blood vessel function, worsening disease progression. It was led by he study, led by OHSU’s Luiz Bertassoni, DDS, PhD. 

Nearly a decade ago, Bertassoni and his team developed a method to 3D print blood vessels in the lab, a major breakthrough. Since then, they’ve focused on engineering blood vessels that better mimic those in the human body to study more complex diseases.

“Historically, endothelial cells lining blood vessels have been considered the main contributors of vascular disease,” Bertassoni said. “Our findings represent a paradigm shift, showing how perivascular cells, instead, act as important sentinels. They detect changes in tissues and coordinating vascular responses. This opens the door to entirely new treatment strategies.”

Cristiane Miranda Franca, DDS, PhD, the study’s lead author, said: “The applications of this research are wide. We’ve shown for the first time how perivascular cells trigger inflammation and signal blood vessel changes when surrounding tissues are altered.”

The study used an innovative “blood vessel on-a-chip” model developed by Christopher Chen, MD, PhD, and his team from Boston University and the Wyss Institute at Harvard, who are collaborators on this project. By replicating conditions like tissue stiffening and scarring – common in aging, chronic diseases and cancer – the researchers discovered that perivascular cells drive blood vessel leakage and distortion, worsening inflammation and disease.

“When we removed perivascular cells, blood vessels essentially failed to respond to tissue changes,” Franca said.

The findings shed light on the relationship between the extracellular matrix, blood vessel function and disease progression. Perivascular cells could become targets for therapies aimed at restoring normal vascular function and reducing the progression of various diseases such as fibrosis, diabetes and cancer.

Importantly, the research also holds promise for cancer prevention and early intervention. Early detection and treatment of changes in these cells could help stop tumours before they grow.

“If we intervene early, we might prevent precancerous lesions from advancing to full-blown cancer,” Bertassoni said. “This could revolutionise how we approach cancer prevention and treatment.”

Source: Oregon Health & Science University

Prevention or Crisis: the Hidden Economics of South Africa’s Healthcare Choice

By Dr Yaseen Khan, co-founder and CEO of digital healthcare platform EMGuidance

As South Africa grapples with healthcare costs that consistently outpace inflation, medical aids recently announcing price increases of 10% or more this year, and the proposed National Health Insurance (NHI) estimated to cost as much as R1.3 trillion, the need for innovative solutions has become increasingly urgent.

While much attention in health innovation has focused on specialised solutions and hospital services, evidence points to an underutilised solution: robust primary healthcare (PHC) enhanced by digital innovation. This approach could meaningfully impact the chronic disease prevalence in our country through adequate early diagnosis and preventative treatment using tech and other digital tools. Also, it’s important to bear in mind that managing chronic conditions accounts for the majority of healthcare costs, especially for non-communicable diseases.

The current reactive approach to healthcare is proving unsustainable. Recent data from the Council for Medical Schemes shows that South African medical schemes spend nearly 40% of their resources on hospital-based care, approximately 30% on specialists and downstream care, while less than 10% goes to preventive and primary care services.

In addition, given increasing medical aid costs, more people are opting for low-cost health insurance products that serve primary needs without (or with limited) hospital cover. Recent estimates show that there are now about 1.5 million policyholders using low-cost insurance offerings.

The World Health Organization (WHO) estimates that scaling up primary healthcare interventions across low and middle-income countries could save 60 million lives and increase average life expectancy by 3.7 years by 2030, calling it “the most inclusive, equitable, cost-effective and efficient approach to enhance people’s physical and mental health”.

In addition, it has urged governments and health authorities to refocus and re-strategise on what PHC should be, while innovating to “harness current and future technological advances; and, ultimately, return to and strengthen the human connection between health providers and those they serve”.

GPs are also struggling under large patient loads, as well as trying to juggle the varying requirements of medical aids, multiple digital platforms and networks, and trying to do the best for their patients, optimising for both their health and their pockets, while also keeping track of local public health matters such as vaccine drives and infection screening programmes. This leaves very little time for basic cardiovascular or cancer screening in patients who are high-risk, for instance.

All of this is a starting point for a coordinated and guided digital platform where doctors can get the best out of the system for each patient – choosing the right medicine for them and selecting what the scheme will cover, referring them to the right network hospital, selecting the right network specialist, and really maximising primary healthcare by supporting clinical behaviour tuned to identifying chronic disease and ensuring that high-risk patients are managed aggressively. It’s what “prevention is better than cure” looks like, and will save costs for patients, medical schemes and even the government over the long term.

Both private healthcare providers and medical schemes stand to gain significantly from lower hospital admission rates, a reduction in specialist visits, and better chronic disease management. Proven digital health solutions could also be scaled nationally to assist the NHI with optimised resource allocation, and the implementation of successful preventive care models.

To maximise benefits, several key elements will have to be prioritised in terms of infrastructure development: we need secure digital platforms that integrate existing healthcare systems and portals, and the development of user-friendly interfaces. The goal is to deliver a platform that will make life easier for busy GPs, ease the friction for patients, healthcare practitioners (HCPs) and schemes alike when it comes to managing benefits, and produce better health outcomes at a lower cost.

For South Africa’s healthcare sector, the combination of strengthened primary care and digital innovation presents a compelling opportunity to contain costs while improving care quality. With non-communicable diseases accounting for 55.7% of all deaths in South Africa, and diabetes alone costing the country R2.7 billion annually, the economic case for prevention and early intervention is clear.

Solving for digital adoption among local healthcare providers is fundamental. Providers are overrun with multiple different systems and portals, so simplification of practice systems through integration, enhancing user-friendliness, leveraging systems that are already used, and mobile capabilities is key. A single platform that facilitates co-ordination and collaboration among the various stakeholders in the health sector holds enormous benefits for providers, schemes and patients alike.

The private sector’s experience with digital health solutions and preventive care could also provide valuable insights for both the public and private healthcare sectors, helping to shape a more efficient and sustainable healthcare system for all South Africans. The challenge now lies in accelerating this digital transformation, while ensuring that the human element of healthcare remains central to service delivery.

Heart Rate Activity Influences When Infants Speak

Photo by Johnny Cohen on Unsplash

The soft, gentle murmurs of a baby’s first expressions, like little whispers of joy and wonder to doting parents, are actually signs that the baby’s heart is working rhythmically in concert with developing speech.

Jeremy I. Borjon, University of Houston assistant professor of psychology, reports in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences that a baby’s first sweet sounds and early attempts at forming words are directly linked to the baby’s heart rate. The findings have implications for understanding language development and potential early indicators of speech and communication disorders.

For infants, producing recognisable speech is more than a cognitive process. It is a motor skill that requires them to learn to coordinate multiple muscles of varying function across their body. This coordination is directly linked to ongoing fluctuations in heart rate.

Borjon investigated whether these fluctuations in heart rate coincide with vocal production and word production in 24-month-old babies. He found that heart rate fluctuations align with the timing of vocalizations and are associated with their duration and the likelihood of producing recognisable speech.

“Heart rate naturally fluctuates in all mammals, steadily increasing then decreasing in a rhythmic pattern. It turns out infants were most likely to make a vocalisation when their heart rate fluctuation had reached a local peak (maximum) or local trough (minimum),” reports Borjon.

“Vocalisations produced at the peak were longer than expected by chance. Vocalisations produced just before the trough, while heart rate is decelerating, were more likely to be recognised as a word by naïve listener,” he said.

Borjon and team measured a total of 2708 vocalisations emitted by 34 infants between 18 and 27 months of age while the babies played with a caregiver. Infants in this age group typically don’t speak whole words yet, and only a small subset of the vocalisations could be reliably identified as words by naïve listeners (10.3%). For the study, the team considered the heart rate dynamics of all sounds made by the baby’s mouth, be it a laugh, a babble or a coo.

“Every sound an infant makes helps their brain and body learn how to coordinate with each other, eventually leading to speech,” Borjon said.

As infants grow, their autonomic nervous system grows and develops. The first few years of life are marked by significant changes in how the heart and lungs function, and these changes continue throughout a person’s life.

The relationship between recognisable vocalisations and decelerating heart rate may imply that the successful development of speech partially depends on infants experiencing predictable ranges of autonomic activity through development.

“Understanding how the autonomic nervous system relates to infant vocalisations over development is a critical avenue of future research for understanding how language emerges, as well as risk factors for atypical language development,” said Borjon

Source: University of Houston